ARICardinals
6-3
21
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
11 mph
28
SEASeahawks
6-3
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
7
7
21
Seahawks
7
9
7
3
26
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
56.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
314
347
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
5.0
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.18
Passing Yards
257
182
Comp/Att
29/42(69%)
23/28(82%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.36
Rushing Yards
57
165
Rush Attempts
18
31
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
55%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-12
-15
Sack EPA
-3.98
-5.15
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
115
79
Penalty EPA
-12.16
-7.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+6
Home nfelo
1,545
Away nfelo
1,506
Home Field
+6.7
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
-39.2
Home QB Adjustment
+13.9
Away QB Adjustment
+53.1
Market Regression
-6.6
Final Difference
42.9
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.7
Team Elo Adj
+53.1
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+13.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
6
22
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5
EPA
EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
3
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
5
4
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21
EPA
EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
7
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
22
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
26
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U