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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ seahawks week 11, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ARI logo
ARICardinals
6-3
21
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
11 mph
28
SEASeahawks
6-3
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
7
7
21
Seahawks
7
9
7
3
26

Spread

SEA logo
-3

Total

UNDER
56.5

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
314
347
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
5.0
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.18
Passing Yards
257
182
Comp/Att
29/42(69%)
23/28(82%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.36
Rushing Yards
57
165
Rush Attempts
18
31
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
55%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-12
-15
Sack EPA
-3.98
-5.15
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
115
79
Penalty EPA
-12.16
-7.65

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model55.0%
Spread Pick
ARI logo
Cardinals+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+2
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,506
Home Field
+6.7
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
-39.2
Home QB Adjustment
+13.9
Away QB Adjustment
+53.1
Market Regression
-7.9
Final Difference
35.0
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+53.1
Value
Ptile
12/29
1.4
64
09/13
5.7
81
09/20
7.1
88
09/27
0.2
48
10/04
8.1
93
10/11
7.2
89
10/19
3.6
70
10/25
12.2
98
11/08
15.6
100
11/15
5.4
80
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+13.9
Value
Ptile
01/12
3.6
75
09/13
11.0
97
09/20
10.8
97
09/27
6.8
88
10/04
2.1
59
10/11
2.2
61
10/25
6.8
87
11/01
7.8
91
11/08
1.9
58
11/15
-5.8
12

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
6
22
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5

EPA

EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
3
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
5
4
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21

EPA

EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
7
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
22
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
26
RZ Efficiency
3
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/29
-7
L
P
O
09/13
4
W
W
U
09/20
15
W
W
U
09/27
-3
L
L
U
10/04
-10
L
L
U
10/11
20
W
W
U
10/19
28
W
W
U
10/25
3
W
W
O
11/08
-3
L
L
O
11/15
2
W
L
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/12
-5
L
L
O
09/13
13
W
W
O
09/20
5
W
W
O
09/27
7
W
W
O
10/04
8
W
W
U
10/11
1
W
L
U
10/25
-3
L
L
O
11/01
10
W
W
O
11/08
-10
L
L
O
11/15
-7
L
L
U