ARICardinals
8-2
23
TBD
Lumen Field
46°F
013
SEASeahawks
3-6
TBD
Lumen Field
46°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
6
3
7
23
Seahawks
0
6
0
7
13
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
413
266
Total Plays
79
49
Yards / Play
5.2
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.08
Passing Yards
318
180
Comp/Att
35/44(80%)
14/26(54%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.36
-0.19
Rushing Yards
95
86
Rush Attempts
33
19
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
16
Passing 1st downs
21
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-10
-27
Sack EPA
-2.92
-6.66
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
32
--
Penalty EPA
-5.22
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+115
Home nfelo
1,563
Away nfelo
1,572
Home Field
+35.7
Base HFA
+39.8
Divisional Adj
-17.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+87.8
Home QB Adjustment
-2.1
Away QB Adjustment
-89.9
Market Regression
+10.5
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
D. McCoy
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-89.9
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
9
28
Passing Yards / Game
10
32
Rushing Yards / Game
14
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
11
24
EPA / Rush
12
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
7
Interceptions / Game
10
22
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
15
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
14
3
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
24
10
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21
EPA
EPA / Play
13
9
EPA / Pass
17
15
EPA / Rush
6
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
15
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
31
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
32
9
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
2-7-1
O/U