ARICardinals
5-8
34
TBD
Lumen Field
39°F
2 mph
31
SEASeahawks
9-4
TBD
Lumen Field
39°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
7
0
20
34
Seahawks
0
3
7
21
31
Spread
+9
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
393
Total Plays
57
79
Yards / Play
6.5
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.05
Passing Yards
276
315
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
29/46(63%)
Yards / Pass
10.2
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.15
Rushing Yards
94
78
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
11%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
17
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.69
-3.61
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-8
-37
Sack EPA
-1.80
-11.21
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
85
40
Penalty EPA
-9.59
-4.56
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model76.1%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+9.0
Expected Value
+2.2%
Cover Probability
51.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+137
Home nfelo
1,649
Away nfelo
1,544
Home Field
+51.6
Base HFA
+57.5
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-19.1
Home QB Adjustment
-20.9
Away QB Adjustment
-1.7
Market Regression
+15.8
Final Difference
201.2
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-1.7
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-20.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
2
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
5
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
6
EPA
EPA / Play
20
8
EPA / Pass
21
16
EPA / Rush
20
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
29
23
Turnover EPA / Game
7
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
5
RZ Efficiency
5
20
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
15
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
18
Rushing Yards / Game
21
9
EPA
EPA / Play
14
2
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
21
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
15
14
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
13
RZ Efficiency
26
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-5-1
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Seahawks
6-3-1
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U