ARICardinals
7-8
26
TBD
Lumen Field
40°F
7 mph
24
SEASeahawks
9-6
TBD
Lumen Field
40°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
10
10
3
3
26
Seahawks
7
0
7
10
24
Spread
+8
Total
OVER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
296
Total Plays
68
54
Yards / Play
3.8
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.03
Passing Yards
143
195
Comp/Att
15/34(44%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.15
+0.05
Rushing Yards
116
101
Rush Attempts
33
22
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
13
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
29%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.61
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-2
-26
Sack EPA
-0.34
-3.85
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
25
100
Penalty EPA
-2.49
-8.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-8.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model75.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+153
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,452
Home Field
+50.3
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+21.8
Home QB Adjustment
+4.3
Away QB Adjustment
-17.5
Market Regression
+12.1
Final Difference
197.4
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
D. Stanton
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-17.5
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
9
Yards / Game
23
11
Passing Yards / Game
8
9
Rushing Yards / Game
30
20
EPA
EPA / Play
30
8
EPA / Pass
29
6
EPA / Rush
31
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
10
Interceptions / Game
28
14
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
5
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
15
RZ Efficiency
30
6
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
18
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
9
24
Rushing Yards / Game
23
6
EPA
EPA / Play
19
6
EPA / Pass
13
9
EPA / Rush
24
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
3
Interceptions / Game
13
12
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
6
4th Down Efficiency
7
13
RZ Efficiency
12
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U