ARICardinals
-
38
TBD
Nissan Stadium
82°F
8 mph
13
TENTitans
-
TBD
Nissan Stadium
82°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
10
14
14
0
38
Titans
0
6
7
0
13
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
54
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
416
248
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
6.2
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.40
Passing Yards
280
162
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.37
-0.46
Rushing Yards
136
86
Rush Attempts
33
22
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
54%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.80
-14.60
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-9
-56
Sack EPA
-2.99
-20.81
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
59
57
Penalty EPA
-5.34
-5.54
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+105
Home nfelo
1,532
Away nfelo
1,481
Home Field
+52.9
Base HFA
+44.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+8.0
Net QB Adjustment
+0.6
Home QB Adjustment
+6.3
Away QB Adjustment
+5.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+5.7
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
6
Yards / Game
9
11
Passing Yards / Game
10
30
Rushing Yards / Game
14
1
EPA
EPA / Play
14
8
EPA / Pass
11
10
EPA / Rush
12
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
8
Interceptions / Game
10
11
Fumbles / Game
1
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
21
RZ Efficiency
14
4
Titans Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
17
12
Passing Yards / Game
20
10
Rushing Yards / Game
5
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
9
EPA / Pass
16
15
EPA / Rush
10
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
15
Interceptions / Game
25
19
Fumbles / Game
27
2
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
13
4th Down Efficiency
8
9
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U