ARICardinals
1-4
17
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
027
MINVikings
2-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
1
0
7
11
Vikings
10
3
14
0
27
Spread
-9.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
411
Total Plays
55
70
Yards / Play
4.9
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.43
-0.21
Passing Yards
208
216
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
24/34(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.38
-0.35
Rushing Yards
60
195
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
3.0
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.53
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
0%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
--
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.66
-12.33
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-32
-17
Sack EPA
-7.04
-12.22
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
30
52
Penalty EPA
-2.45
-5.21
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-9.5
Model
-12.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model84.3%
Spread Pick
Vikings-9.5
Expected Value
+15.9%
Cover Probability
60.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+347
Home nfelo
1,609
Away nfelo
1,402
Home Field
+87.0
Base HFA
+56.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+53.0
Home QB Adjustment
+21.5
Away QB Adjustment
-31.4
Market Regression
-9.8
Final Difference
292.5
Model Spread
-12.5
Quarterbacks
J. Rosen
Proj. Value
-5.8
Team Elo Adj
-31.4
Value
Ptile
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+21.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
10
Yards / Game
32
4
Passing Yards / Game
28
3
Rushing Yards / Game
32
14
EPA
EPA / Play
32
2
EPA / Pass
32
1
EPA / Rush
30
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
17
Interceptions / Game
28
20
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
3
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
1
4th Down Efficiency
32
6
RZ Efficiency
8
3
Vikings Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
26
Yards / Game
20
21
Passing Yards / Game
6
14
Rushing Yards / Game
29
32
EPA
EPA / Play
27
14
EPA / Pass
25
12
EPA / Rush
32
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
8
29
Fumbles / Game
25
15
Turnover EPA / Game
10
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
16
4th Down Efficiency
29
24
RZ Efficiency
21
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Vikings
6-3-1
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U