LACChargers
0-5
24
TBD
New Era Field
63°F
7 mph
27
BUFBills
2-2
TBD
New Era Field
63°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chargers
3
7
14
0
0
24
Bills
0
14
0
10
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
303
424
Total Plays
61
80
Yards / Play
5.0
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.20
Passing Yards
251
318
Comp/Att
21/33(64%)
31/48(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.08
Rushing Yards
52
95
Rush Attempts
27
28
Yards / Rush
1.9
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.50
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
25
Passing 1st downs
11
18
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
26%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
19
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-14.37
-8.54
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-36
-22
Sack EPA
-7.09
-6.17
Penalties
12
10
Penalty Yards
88
103
Penalty EPA
-4.97
-6.80
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
22
Yards / Game
28
4
Passing Yards / Game
7
7
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
19
EPA / Pass
25
12
EPA / Rush
31
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
3
Interceptions / Game
31
17
Fumbles / Game
30
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
12
4th Down Efficiency
30
23
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
30
Yards / Game
8
12
Passing Yards / Game
6
20
Rushing Yards / Game
10
4
EPA
EPA / Play
24
14
EPA / Pass
13
18
EPA / Rush
23
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
7
Interceptions / Game
1
17
Fumbles / Game
11
29
Turnover EPA / Game
31
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
19
RZ Efficiency
17
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U