LACChargers
9-2
24
TBD
New Era Field
35°F
11 mph
21
BUFBills
5-6
TBD
New Era Field
35°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
10
7
0
7
24
Bills
0
0
14
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
335
230
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
5.0
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.13
Passing Yards
138
167
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.11
-0.18
Rushing Yards
197
63
Rush Attempts
35
24
Yards / Rush
5.6
2.6
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
16
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
31%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-4.23
-7.34
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-17
Sack EPA
-8.09
-5.51
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-6.40
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
9
Yards / Game
4
18
Passing Yards / Game
18
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
27
EPA
EPA / Play
1
10
EPA / Pass
2
9
EPA / Rush
1
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
3
24
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
32
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
12
4th Down Efficiency
12
28
RZ Efficiency
1
20
Bills Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
8
Yards / Game
30
8
Passing Yards / Game
20
29
Rushing Yards / Game
27
6
EPA
EPA / Play
21
16
EPA / Pass
18
6
EPA / Rush
25
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
22
Interceptions / Game
11
12
Fumbles / Game
28
13
Turnover EPA / Game
16
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
7
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
25
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U