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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ browns week 7, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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LAC logo
LACChargers
0-5
26
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
8 mph
20
CLEBrowns
3-3
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
6
1
10
3
20
Browns
0
3
3
14
20

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
289
277
Total Plays
56
69
Yards / Play
5.2
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.23
Passing Yards
61
176
Comp/Att
9/19(47%)
24/44(55%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.77
-0.55
Rushing Yards
228
101
Rush Attempts
36
22
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
3
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
17%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
2
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.53
-13.55
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-13
-16
Sack EPA
-2.86
-3.84
Penalties
12
7
Penalty Yards
93
76
Penalty EPA
-11.41
-9.49

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Browns Defense
Chargers logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
16
13
Yards / Game
16
15
Passing Yards / Game
25
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22

EPA

EPA / Play
12
21
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
4
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
13
Interceptions / Game
21
15
Fumbles / Game
23
27
Turnover EPA / Game
10
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
21
4th Down Efficiency
14
26
RZ Efficiency
22
3
Browns Offense vs Chargers Defense
Browns logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
29
31
Yards / Game
26
27
Passing Yards / Game
29
24
Rushing Yards / Game
20
26

EPA

EPA / Play
23
32
EPA / Pass
25
28
EPA / Rush
27
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
21
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
25
31
Turnover EPA / Game
3
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
24
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
3
W
W
P
12/08
-20
L
L
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P
12/22
-2
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
L
P
09/07
-13
L
L
P
09/14
-24
L
L
P
09/21
-14
L
L
P
09/28
-3
L
W
P
10/05
-6
L
L
P
CLE logo

Browns

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
-5
L
L
P
12/22
1
W
W
P
12/29
8
W
W
P
01/05
-3
L
W
P
09/07
-3
L
L
P
09/14
-20
L
L
P
09/21
1
W
W
P
09/28
-7
L
L
P
10/05
20
W
W
P
10/12
6
W
W
P