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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ browns week 15, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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LAC logo
LACChargers
10-3
21
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
18°F
30 mph
0
CLEBrowns
3-10
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
18°F
30 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
7
7
0
21
Browns
0
0
0
0
0

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
257
231
Total Plays
57
58
Yards / Play
4.5
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.31
Passing Yards
83
105
Comp/Att
4/6(67%)
11/28(39%)
Yards / Pass
13.8
3.8
EPA / Pass
+0.67
-0.79
Rushing Yards
174
126
Rush Attempts
50
29
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
16
11
Passing 1st downs
2
2
Rushing 1st downs
12
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-0.45
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-3
Sack EPA
-1.17
-0.02
Penalties
1
6
Penalty Yards
--
42
Penalty EPA
--
-7.97

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Browns Defense
Chargers logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
4
24
Yards / Game
10
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
2
Rushing Yards / Game
7
32

EPA

EPA / Play
3
17
EPA / Pass
3
12
EPA / Rush
4
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
11
Interceptions / Game
1
19
Fumbles / Game
3
21
Turnover EPA / Game
31
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
14
4th Down Efficiency
4
14
RZ Efficiency
2
25
Browns Offense vs Chargers Defense
Browns logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
27
10
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
20
29
Rushing Yards / Game
23
3

EPA

EPA / Play
28
21
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
31
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
29
Interceptions / Game
25
6
Fumbles / Game
32
14
Turnover EPA / Game
4
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
12
4th Down Efficiency
23
20
RZ Efficiency
26
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

9-1
SU
9-0-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
21
W
W
P
10/10
13
W
W
P
10/17
-1
L
W
P
10/24
11
W
W
P
10/31
28
W
W
P
11/07
26
W
W
P
11/21
6
W
W
P
11/28
3
W
W
P
12/05
3
W
P
P
12/12
7
W
W
P
CLE logo

Browns

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
4
W
W
P
10/10
-11
L
L
P
10/17
17
W
W
P
10/24
-3
L
W
P
11/07
-14
L
L
P
11/14
-14
L
L
P
11/21
-3
L
L
P
11/28
-10
L
L
P
12/05
-27
L
L
P
12/12
-30
L
L
P