nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ chiefs week 16, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

LAC logo
LACChargers
8-6
22
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
33°F
6 mph
24
KCChiefs
7-7
KC logo
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
33°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
3
9
7
22
Chiefs
7
7
7
3
24

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Chiefs logo
Total Yards
383
376
Total Plays
68
63
Yards / Play
5.6
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.10
Passing Yards
235
323
Comp/Att
26/41(63%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
9.0
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.40
Rushing Yards
148
53
Rush Attempts
26
24
Yards / Rush
5.7
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Chiefs logo
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
17%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Chiefs logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-1.19
-2.15
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-7
-14
Sack EPA
-0.92
-3.82
Penalties
9
1
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-4.32
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Chargers logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
20
28
Yards / Game
17
32
Passing Yards / Game
23
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
25

EPA

EPA / Play
18
31
EPA / Pass
21
27
EPA / Rush
6
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
26
23
RZ Efficiency
4
15
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Chiefs logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
1
21
Yards / Game
4
30
Passing Yards / Game
15
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11

EPA

EPA / Play
1
24
EPA / Pass
1
23
EPA / Rush
1
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
7
15
Fumbles / Game
1
17
Turnover EPA / Game
32
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
14
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
1
26

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/06
-17
L
L
P
10/13
1
W
L
P
10/20
6
W
W
P
11/03
-31
L
L
P
11/10
-4
L
W
P
11/17
3
W
W
P
11/24
-27
L
L
P
12/01
3
W
W
P
12/08
-20
L
L
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P
KC logo

Chiefs

5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/06
4
W
W
P
10/13
-1
L
W
P
10/20
-3
L
P
P
10/27
10
W
W
P
11/10
-4
L
W
P
11/17
1
W
L
P
11/24
-7
L
L
P
12/01
49
W
W
P
12/08
39
W
W
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P