LACChargers
4-3
27
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
54°F
11 mph
24
PHIEagles
3-5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
54°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
0
9
11
27
Eagles
0
10
7
7
24
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
331
Total Plays
66
57
Yards / Play
6.8
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.22
Passing Yards
--
155
Comp/Att
32/39(82%)
11/17(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.1
EPA / Pass
+0.59
+0.33
Rushing Yards
89
176
Rush Attempts
27
39
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
20
Passing 1st downs
17
7
Rushing 1st downs
9
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
50%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-7
Sack EPA
--
-2.47
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-3.74
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-7
Home nfelo
1,462
Away nfelo
1,524
Home Field
+47.5
Base HFA
+40.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.2
Time Adj
-7.3
Net QB Adjustment
+7.1
Home QB Adjustment
+10.1
Away QB Adjustment
+3.1
Market Regression
+38.2
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.1
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+10.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
19
Yards / Game
4
10
Passing Yards / Game
5
3
Rushing Yards / Game
21
9
EPA
EPA / Play
7
18
EPA / Pass
7
23
EPA / Rush
16
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
26
Interceptions / Game
21
21
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
15
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
23
4th Down Efficiency
4
9
RZ Efficiency
3
29
Eagles Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
29
Yards / Game
13
23
Passing Yards / Game
17
23
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30
EPA
EPA / Play
10
25
EPA / Pass
14
17
EPA / Rush
3
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
27
Interceptions / Game
7
22
Fumbles / Game
4
7
Turnover EPA / Game
27
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
32
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
8
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U