LACChargers
0-4
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
76°F
7 mph
22
NYGGiants
0-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
76°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
10
7
10
27
Giants
7
0
7
6
20
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
335
Total Plays
73
67
Yards / Play
5.2
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
183
Comp/Att
21/44(48%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.26
Rushing Yards
124
152
Rush Attempts
29
25
Yards / Rush
4.3
6.1
EPA / Rush
+0.00
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
15
Red Zone %
40%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.77
-5.07
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-42
Sack EPA
--
-13.64
Penalties
11
10
Penalty Yards
87
67
Penalty EPA
-9.93
-7.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model65.7%
Spread Pick
Giants-3.0
Expected Value
+9.5%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+156
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,455
Home Field
+108.0
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+30.8
Net QB Adjustment
+9.1
Home QB Adjustment
+10.4
Away QB Adjustment
+1.3
Market Regression
-11.6
Final Difference
113.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+1.3
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
27
Yards / Game
5
31
Passing Yards / Game
16
7
Rushing Yards / Game
24
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
18
EPA / Pass
4
21
EPA / Rush
21
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
19
Interceptions / Game
10
15
Fumbles / Game
1
23
Turnover EPA / Game
30
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
21
4th Down Efficiency
18
4
RZ Efficiency
27
18
Giants Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
22
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
18
Rushing Yards / Game
26
31
EPA
EPA / Play
32
10
EPA / Pass
27
3
EPA / Rush
27
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
32
Interceptions / Game
20
5
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
16
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
19
4th Down Efficiency
25
5
RZ Efficiency
24
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
1-9
SU
1-8-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U