LAC logo
LAC
5-9
27
17
NYJ
6-8
NYJ logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
1
3
14
3
21
Jets
14
0
0
3
17

Spread

LAC logo
+3

Total

OVER
37

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
223
225
Total Plays
56
59
Yards / Play
4.0
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.30
Passing Yards
136
156
Comp/Att
11/22(50%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.62
Rushing Yards
87
69
Rush Attempts
30
23
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
17%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
2
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.00
Sacks
4
11
Sack Yards
-29
-71
Sack EPA
-6.83
-18.84
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
53
40
Penalty EPA
-6.28
-6.04

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+81
Home nfelo
1,469
Away nfelo
1,496
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-10.1
Home QB Adjustment
-31.2
Away QB Adjustment
-21.1
Market Regression
+25.0
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

G. McElroy

Proj. Value
-5.5
Team Elo Adj
-31.2
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Jets Defense
Chargers logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
19
20
Yards / Game
31
6
Passing Yards / Game
13
1
Rushing Yards / Game
28
26

EPA

EPA / Play
19
11
EPA / Pass
20
11
EPA / Rush
28
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
14
23
Fumbles / Game
23
5
Turnover EPA / Game
18
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
31
RZ Efficiency
26
26
Jets Offense vs Chargers Defense
Jets logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
28
15
Yards / Game
30
9
Passing Yards / Game
27
12
Rushing Yards / Game
12
5

EPA

EPA / Play
30
9
EPA / Pass
30
13
EPA / Rush
15
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
3
Interceptions / Game
28
18
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
3
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
29
4th Down Efficiency
17
8
RZ Efficiency
25
32