LACChargers
3-1
26
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
59°F
15 mph
29
NEPatriots
1-3
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
59°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chargers
3
3
7
7
0
20
Patriots
3
6
7
10
3
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
343
374
Total Plays
62
81
Yards / Play
5.5
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.09
Passing Yards
258
345
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
33/54(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.17
Rushing Yards
85
29
Rush Attempts
29
24
Yards / Rush
2.9
1.2
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
30
Passing 1st downs
11
20
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
42%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
40%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.74
-5.87
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-12
-19
Sack EPA
-1.53
-3.56
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
93
51
Penalty EPA
-9.49
-3.65
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
5
Yards / Game
11
23
Passing Yards / Game
14
30
Rushing Yards / Game
22
17
EPA
EPA / Play
9
7
EPA / Pass
7
8
EPA / Rush
22
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
16
7
Fumbles / Game
12
11
Turnover EPA / Game
24
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
11
4th Down Efficiency
1
8
RZ Efficiency
29
4
Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
16
Yards / Game
20
11
Passing Yards / Game
19
27
Rushing Yards / Game
17
7
EPA
EPA / Play
11
19
EPA / Pass
10
23
EPA / Rush
21
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
26
Interceptions / Game
6
11
Fumbles / Game
10
16
Turnover EPA / Game
22
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
28
RZ Efficiency
15
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U