LACChargers
-
24
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
63°F
12 mph
20
OAKRaiders
-
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
63°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
10
0
14
24
Raiders
7
3
0
10
20
Spread
+10.5
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
317
366
Total Plays
62
65
Yards / Play
5.1
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.04
Passing Yards
240
218
Comp/Att
24/36(67%)
14/32(44%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.01
Rushing Yards
77
148
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.67
-9.35
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-12
-7
Sack EPA
-2.12
-1.22
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
60
40
Penalty EPA
-8.26
-4.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-10.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market81.3%
Model74.3%
Spread Pick
Raiders+10.5
Expected Value
+20.8%
Cover Probability
63.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-121
Home nfelo
1,427
Away nfelo
1,568
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-14.1
Home QB Adjustment
-3.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.3
Market Regression
-33.5
Final Difference
-184.6
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+10.3
J. Russell
Proj. Value
-5.2
Team Elo Adj
-3.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
23
Yards / Game
10
25
Passing Yards / Game
4
15
Rushing Yards / Game
31
29
EPA
EPA / Play
1
26
EPA / Pass
1
27
EPA / Rush
28
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
3
Interceptions / Game
6
31
Fumbles / Game
3
23
Turnover EPA / Game
32
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
7
4th Down Efficiency
13
28
RZ Efficiency
10
10
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
10
Yards / Game
31
12
Passing Yards / Game
26
26
Rushing Yards / Game
21
21
EPA
EPA / Play
29
23
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
22
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
25
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
32
14
Turnover EPA / Game
11
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
22
4th Down Efficiency
18
20
RZ Efficiency
29
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U