LACChargers
4-1
31
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
77°F
5 mph
28
OAKRaiders
0-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
77°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
7
7
10
31
Raiders
7
7
7
7
28
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
423
396
Total Plays
69
54
Yards / Play
6.1
7.3
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.20
Passing Yards
307
--
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
18/34(53%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.44
+0.33
Rushing Yards
116
114
Rush Attempts
33
20
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
17
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
57%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.46
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-6
--
Sack EPA
-2.45
--
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
60
78
Penalty EPA
-5.49
-8.53
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-197
Home nfelo
1,369
Away nfelo
1,594
Home Field
+52.2
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-23.6
Home QB Adjustment
-0.1
Away QB Adjustment
+23.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+23.5
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
32
Yards / Game
19
20
Passing Yards / Game
8
10
Rushing Yards / Game
30
22
EPA
EPA / Play
12
25
EPA / Pass
7
27
EPA / Rush
27
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
26
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
2
30
Turnover EPA / Game
23
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
14
4th Down Efficiency
19
13
RZ Efficiency
15
16
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
12
Yards / Game
32
10
Passing Yards / Game
29
1
Rushing Yards / Game
32
25
EPA
EPA / Play
32
23
EPA / Pass
31
21
EPA / Rush
32
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
16
Interceptions / Game
19
28
Fumbles / Game
28
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
24
4th Down Efficiency
3
3
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Raiders
0-10
SU
3-7
ATS
5-4-1
O/U