LACChargers
1-4
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
76°F
9 mph
16
OAKRaiders
2-3
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
76°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
7
0
10
17
Raiders
7
3
0
6
16
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
343
274
Total Plays
65
53
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.07
Passing Yards
263
165
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.26
Rushing Yards
80
109
Rush Attempts
28
22
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
15
Passing 1st downs
15
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.79
-9.64
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-6
Sack EPA
-1.87
-1.31
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-4.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+49
Home nfelo
1,504
Away nfelo
1,489
Home Field
+31.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+2.4
Home QB Adjustment
+4.7
Away QB Adjustment
+2.4
Market Regression
-23.4
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.4
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+4.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
20
Yards / Game
5
24
Passing Yards / Game
16
23
Rushing Yards / Game
24
11
EPA
EPA / Play
8
31
EPA / Pass
4
31
EPA / Rush
21
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
30
Interceptions / Game
10
32
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
25
4th Down Efficiency
18
30
RZ Efficiency
27
8
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
1
Yards / Game
18
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
25
31
EPA
EPA / Play
15
10
EPA / Pass
16
3
EPA / Rush
22
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
32
Interceptions / Game
20
5
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
13
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
19
4th Down Efficiency
27
5
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
1-9
SU
1-8-1
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U