LACChargers
6-2
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
69°F
16 mph
6
OAKRaiders
1-7
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
69°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
10
7
3
20
Raiders
3
0
0
3
6
Spread
-10.5
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
335
317
Total Plays
53
63
Yards / Play
6.3
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.15
Passing Yards
222
203
Comp/Att
18/26(69%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.27
-0.32
Rushing Yards
113
114
Rush Attempts
26
22
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
16
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
20%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.80
-6.82
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-1
-40
Sack EPA
-0.93
-12.01
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
70
55
Penalty EPA
-4.63
-4.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-10.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market81.3%
Model81.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-243
Home nfelo
1,320
Away nfelo
1,583
Home Field
+31.8
Base HFA
+57.8
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-12.0
Home QB Adjustment
-0.3
Away QB Adjustment
+11.7
Market Regression
-13.4
Final Difference
-255.3
Model Spread
+10.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+11.7
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-0.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
32
Yards / Game
13
26
Passing Yards / Game
5
6
Rushing Yards / Game
18
30
EPA
EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
3
32
EPA / Rush
9
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
4
Interceptions / Game
11
14
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
26
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
11
Yards / Game
23
10
Passing Yards / Game
12
8
Rushing Yards / Game
25
10
EPA
EPA / Play
26
9
EPA / Pass
21
8
EPA / Rush
29
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
25
Interceptions / Game
8
18
Fumbles / Game
31
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
19
4th Down Efficiency
28
23
RZ Efficiency
22
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U