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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ rams week 10, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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LAC logo
LACChargers
6-2
24
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0
28
LARRams
3-5
LAR logo
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
1
10
1
0
12
Rams
7
0
7
14
28

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
256
524
Total Plays
50
64
Yards / Play
5.1
8.2
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.07
Passing Yards
130
--
Comp/Att
12/20(60%)
36/48(75%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.00
Rushing Yards
126
71
Rush Attempts
29
16
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
15
25
Passing 1st downs
7
22
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
30%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
9
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
4
Turnover EPA
-5.59
-26.97
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-0.79
--
Penalties
12
10
Penalty Yards
82
85
Penalty EPA
-10.32
-5.96

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Rams Defense
Chargers logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
20
22
Yards / Game
17
10
Passing Yards / Game
23
18
Rushing Yards / Game
6
15

EPA

EPA / Play
18
11
EPA / Pass
21
18
EPA / Rush
6
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
5
Interceptions / Game
17
24
Fumbles / Game
3
11
Turnover EPA / Game
28
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
26
7
RZ Efficiency
4
10
Rams Offense vs Chargers Defense
Rams logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
23
21
Yards / Game
10
30
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
30
11

EPA

EPA / Play
25
24
EPA / Pass
20
23
EPA / Rush
29
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
28
Interceptions / Game
32
15
Fumbles / Game
27
17
Turnover EPA / Game
1
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
14
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
12
26

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/23
-3
L
W
P
12/30
-3
L
L
P
09/08
28
W
W
P
09/15
21
W
W
P
09/22
8
W
W
P
09/29
7
W
W
P
10/06
-17
L
L
P
10/13
1
W
L
P
10/20
6
W
W
P
11/03
-31
L
L
P
LAR logo

Rams

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/27
5
W
L
P
02/03
-3
L
L
P
09/08
-7
L
L
P
09/15
-5
L
L
P
09/23
-12
L
L
P
09/29
-3
L
L
P
10/06
-24
L
L
P
10/13
15
W
W
P
10/20
17
W
W
P
11/03
13
W
W
P