LACChargers
5-2
25
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
4 mph
17
SEASeahawks
4-3
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
6
13
0
0
19
Seahawks
7
3
0
7
17
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
356
Total Plays
51
75
Yards / Play
7.4
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.10
Passing Yards
215
202
Comp/Att
13/27(48%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.27
Rushing Yards
160
154
Rush Attempts
22
32
Yards / Rush
7.3
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
22%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.84
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-13
-33
Sack EPA
-2.47
-6.52
Penalties
12
10
Penalty Yards
105
83
Penalty EPA
-11.59
-8.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model48.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-33
Home nfelo
1,523
Away nfelo
1,575
Home Field
+33.1
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-45.1
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.9
Home QB Adjustment
+2.0
Away QB Adjustment
+15.9
Market Regression
-2.8
Final Difference
-7.9
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+15.9
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
13
Yards / Game
13
19
Passing Yards / Game
5
24
Rushing Yards / Game
18
18
EPA
EPA / Play
7
19
EPA / Pass
3
11
EPA / Rush
9
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
8
Interceptions / Game
11
19
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
5
4th Down Efficiency
1
5
RZ Efficiency
9
8
Seahawks Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
11
Yards / Game
18
10
Passing Yards / Game
19
8
Rushing Yards / Game
1
10
EPA
EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
8
8
EPA / Rush
5
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
25
Interceptions / Game
2
18
Fumbles / Game
2
7
Turnover EPA / Game
31
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
23
RZ Efficiency
6
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U