LACChargers
11-3
42
TBD
Nissan Stadium
33°F
7 mph
17
TENTitans
7-7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
33°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
14
14
7
42
Titans
3
7
0
7
17
Spread
+1.5
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
270
Total Plays
69
49
Yards / Play
6.2
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.43
+0.00
Passing Yards
259
88
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
8/21(38%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.76
-0.53
Rushing Yards
166
182
Rush Attempts
40
27
Yards / Rush
4.2
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
17
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
13
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
73%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
8
Red Zone %
83%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
5
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.40
-12.80
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-1
Sack EPA
-1.07
-0.77
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
45
59
Penalty EPA
-4.55
-8.91
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+2
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,583
Home Field
+40.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+4.8
Home QB Adjustment
+22.8
Away QB Adjustment
+18.0
Market Regression
-5.0
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+18.0
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+22.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
28
Yards / Game
10
27
Passing Yards / Game
4
25
Rushing Yards / Game
31
11
EPA
EPA / Play
1
27
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
28
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
32
Interceptions / Game
6
7
Fumbles / Game
3
28
Turnover EPA / Game
32
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
13
31
RZ Efficiency
10
27
Titans Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
10
Yards / Game
13
12
Passing Yards / Game
31
26
Rushing Yards / Game
2
21
EPA
EPA / Play
13
23
EPA / Pass
17
19
EPA / Rush
2
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
25
Interceptions / Game
14
20
Fumbles / Game
29
14
Turnover EPA / Game
22
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
22
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U