
KCChiefs
9-0
19
TBD
Paycor Stadium
54°F
4 mph
24
CINBengals
4-5

TBD
Paycor Stadium
54°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
3
3
13
19
Bengals
0
3
7
8
18
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
371
422
Total Plays
61
67
Yards / Play
6.1
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.01
Passing Yards
304
222
Comp/Att
28/43(65%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.15
+0.21
Rushing Yards
67
200
Rush Attempts
17
33
Yards / Rush
3.9
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.03
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
9%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays


Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-11
Sack EPA
-1.30
-2.79
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
25
33
Penalty EPA
-3.27
-5.26
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner

KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Bengals Defense


Total
Points / Game
1
28
Yards / Game
3
28
Passing Yards / Game
19
31
Rushing Yards / Game
11
24
EPA
EPA / Play
1
31
EPA / Pass
3
27
EPA / Rush
2
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
15
Interceptions / Game
2
20
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
32
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
28
4th Down Efficiency
1
29
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Bengals Offense vs Chiefs Defense


Total
Points / Game
13
22
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
8
18
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30
EPA
EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
7
17
EPA / Rush
11
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
30
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
3
23
Turnover EPA / Game
27
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
18
4th Down Efficiency
21
10
RZ Efficiency
5
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Chiefs
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U

Bengals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U