KCChiefs
5-3
3
TBD
New Era Field
61°F
18 mph
14
BUFBills
3-5
TBD
New Era Field
61°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
3
0
0
0
3
Bills
0
7
7
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
316
209
Total Plays
78
52
Yards / Play
4.1
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.35
-0.33
Passing Yards
166
148
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
13/22(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.55
-0.14
Rushing Yards
150
61
Rush Attempts
32
28
Yards / Rush
4.7
2.2
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.45
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
9
Passing 1st downs
10
5
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
38%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-20.78
-6.21
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-54
-14
Sack EPA
-15.58
-5.98
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
65
37
Penalty EPA
-8.22
-2.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
1
29
Passing Yards / Game
6
27
Rushing Yards / Game
4
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
30
EPA / Pass
6
26
EPA / Rush
3
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
12
Interceptions / Game
3
11
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
23
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
32
4th Down Efficiency
6
23
RZ Efficiency
14
32
Bills Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
16
Yards / Game
29
26
Passing Yards / Game
22
30
Rushing Yards / Game
21
8
EPA
EPA / Play
17
27
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
23
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
17
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
8
9
Turnover EPA / Game
22
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
15
4th Down Efficiency
24
10
RZ Efficiency
30
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U