KCChiefs
7-4
28
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
31°F
12 mph
31
CLEBrowns
3-8
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
31°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chiefs
0
14
7
7
0
28
Browns
7
7
0
14
3
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
417
438
Total Plays
66
64
Yards / Play
6.3
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.31
Passing Yards
293
288
Comp/Att
24/32(75%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.57
+0.47
Rushing Yards
124
150
Rush Attempts
32
29
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.00
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
26
Passing 1st downs
17
17
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
69%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
9
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.43
-5.34
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-4
-5
Sack EPA
-3.53
-1.12
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
29
15
Penalty EPA
-0.92
-1.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
19
27
Passing Yards / Game
10
16
Rushing Yards / Game
9
29
EPA
EPA / Play
13
20
EPA / Pass
14
24
EPA / Rush
16
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
3
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
20
22
Turnover EPA / Game
18
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
29
4th Down Efficiency
9
8
RZ Efficiency
2
17
Browns Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
12
Yards / Game
31
22
Passing Yards / Game
25
21
Rushing Yards / Game
30
20
EPA
EPA / Play
29
21
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
31
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
9
Interceptions / Game
32
18
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
3
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
19
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
18
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U