KCChiefs
3-4
31
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
76°F
7 mph
34
TBBuccaneers
2-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
76°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
17
7
0
31
Buccaneers
7
14
7
6
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
459
418
Total Plays
74
55
Yards / Play
6.2
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.39
Passing Yards
354
288
Comp/Att
32/42(76%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.32
+0.25
Rushing Yards
105
130
Rush Attempts
30
20
Yards / Rush
3.5
6.5
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
23
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
62%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.02
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-8
Sack EPA
-2.82
-1.53
Penalties
10
10
Penalty Yards
97
95
Penalty EPA
-11.24
-7.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
9
Yards / Game
1
4
Passing Yards / Game
8
1
Rushing Yards / Game
4
19
EPA
EPA / Play
2
8
EPA / Pass
4
4
EPA / Rush
1
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
9
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
11
16
Turnover EPA / Game
24
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
11
4th Down Efficiency
29
10
RZ Efficiency
1
8
Buccaneers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
29
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
6
31
Rushing Yards / Game
29
13
EPA
EPA / Play
25
32
EPA / Pass
16
31
EPA / Rush
32
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
23
Interceptions / Game
21
25
Fumbles / Game
29
30
Turnover EPA / Game
3
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
15
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U