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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chiefs @ cardinals week 5, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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KC logo
KCChiefs
1-2
23
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
20
ARICardinals
1-3
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
10
0
13
23
Cardinals
14
3
3
0
20

Game Statistics

General
Chiefs logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
301
298
Total Plays
63
65
Yards / Play
4.8
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.21
Passing Yards
262
222
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.02
Rushing Yards
39
76
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
1.8
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.84
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
Chiefs logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
16
12
Rushing 1st downs
--
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Chiefs logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.56
-3.99
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-26
-31
Sack EPA
-5.15
-5.62
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
49
50
Penalty EPA
-4.79
-9.66

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
KC logo
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chiefs Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Chiefs logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
16
29
Yards / Game
19
29
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
9
15

EPA

EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
14
23
EPA / Rush
16
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
16
Interceptions / Game
9
19
Fumbles / Game
20
2
Turnover EPA / Game
18
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
21
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
2
12
Cardinals Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Cardinals logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
18
12
Yards / Game
17
22
Passing Yards / Game
8
21
Rushing Yards / Game
31
20

EPA

EPA / Play
24
21
EPA / Pass
13
19
EPA / Rush
27
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
9
Interceptions / Game
17
18
Fumbles / Game
13
4
Turnover EPA / Game
11
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
19
4th Down Efficiency
6
25
RZ Efficiency
20
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

KC logo

Chiefs

6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/20
28
W
W
P
11/27
10
W
W
P
12/04
4
W
W
P
12/11
-3
L
P
P
12/17
-10
L
L
P
12/24
13
W
W
P
01/01
34
W
W
P
09/10
-13
L
L
P
09/17
-3
L
W
P
10/01
41
W
W
P
ARI logo

Cardinals

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/27
-7
L
L
P
12/04
7
W
W
P
12/11
-4
L
L
P
12/18
-11
L
L
P
12/24
6
W
W
P
01/01
-4
L
W
P
09/10
7
W
L
P
09/17
-11
L
L
P
09/24
-2
L
L
P
10/01
-22
L
L
P