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  1. nfelo...
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  3. chiefs @ chargers week 4, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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KC logo
KCChiefs
1-2
30
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
76°F
8 mph
16
LACChargers
1-2
LAC logo
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
76°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
6
10
8
24
Chargers
10
6
0
0
16

Game Statistics

General
Chiefs logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
390
333
Total Plays
59
67
Yards / Play
6.6
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.28
Passing Yards
264
200
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
21/42(50%)
Yards / Pass
9.1
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.48
Rushing Yards
126
133
Rush Attempts
28
24
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
Chiefs logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
36%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Chiefs logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-9.17
-21.40
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-20
-11
Sack EPA
-3.16
-8.97
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
--
21
Penalty EPA
--
-4.59

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
KC logo
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Chiefs logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
31
14
Passing Yards / Game
12
16
Rushing Yards / Game
32
15

EPA

EPA / Play
30
1
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
29
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
27
Interceptions / Game
24
1
Fumbles / Game
15
7
Turnover EPA / Game
13
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
6
RZ Efficiency
23
13
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Chargers logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
10
15
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
31
22
Rushing Yards / Game
9
28

EPA

EPA / Play
12
14
EPA / Pass
8
10
EPA / Rush
18
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
1
Interceptions / Game
17
24
Fumbles / Game
5
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
1
4th Down Efficiency
6
1
RZ Efficiency
15
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

KC logo

Chiefs

4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/23
9
W
W
P
12/03
-3
L
L
P
12/10
-10
L
L
P
12/17
-11
L
L
P
12/23
11
W
W
P
12/31
5
W
W
P
01/06
-15
L
L
P
09/09
-17
L
L
P
09/16
-10
L
W
P
09/23
3
W
P
P
LAC logo

Chargers

7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/26
7
W
L
P
12/03
3
W
L
P
12/10
28
W
W
P
12/17
11
W
W
P
12/24
3
W
L
P
12/31
7
W
L
P
01/14
-3
L
L
P
09/09
11
W
W
P
09/16
-24
L
L
P
09/23
-7
L
L
P