KCChiefs
3-2
34
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
7 mph
35
LACChargers
4-1
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
10
7
7
10
34
Chargers
7
0
7
21
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
465
Total Plays
59
70
Yards / Play
5.4
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.26
+0.16
Passing Yards
231
312
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
28/41(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.05
Rushing Yards
88
153
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
75%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
3
5
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+0.12
-13.27
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-7
Sack EPA
-0.90
-1.19
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
30
35
Penalty EPA
-3.14
-3.24
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
21
Yards / Game
4
30
Passing Yards / Game
15
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11
EPA
EPA / Play
1
24
EPA / Pass
1
23
EPA / Rush
1
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
7
15
Fumbles / Game
1
17
Turnover EPA / Game
32
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
14
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
1
26
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
28
Yards / Game
17
32
Passing Yards / Game
23
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
25
EPA
EPA / Play
18
31
EPA / Pass
21
27
EPA / Rush
6
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
26
23
RZ Efficiency
4
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U