KCChiefs
4-2
20
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
28
LACChargers
3-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
3
7
10
20
Chargers
7
14
0
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
418
424
Total Plays
68
66
Yards / Play
6.1
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.12
Passing Yards
323
--
Comp/Att
31/43(72%)
26/44(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.13
Rushing Yards
95
83
Rush Attempts
21
22
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
17
16
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
15%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.15
-8.66
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-24
--
Sack EPA
-9.09
--
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
58
38
Penalty EPA
-0.12
-3.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
13
Yards / Game
1
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
31
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1
EPA
EPA / Play
2
20
EPA / Pass
6
24
EPA / Rush
3
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
21
Interceptions / Game
3
27
Fumbles / Game
23
16
Turnover EPA / Game
23
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
14
4th Down Efficiency
6
18
RZ Efficiency
14
19
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
16
Yards / Game
10
26
Passing Yards / Game
16
30
Rushing Yards / Game
8
8
EPA
EPA / Play
4
27
EPA / Pass
7
28
EPA / Rush
1
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
17
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
8
9
Turnover EPA / Game
20
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
15
4th Down Efficiency
5
10
RZ Efficiency
1
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U