KCChiefs
7-8
17
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
59°F
8 mph
24
LACChargers
11-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
59°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
3
0
14
17
Chargers
3
14
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
443
363
Total Plays
73
62
Yards / Play
6.1
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.00
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
225
Comp/Att
33/53(62%)
18/31(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.12
Rushing Yards
70
138
Rush Attempts
20
30
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
21
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
54%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-12.31
-7.52
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-7
Sack EPA
--
-1.53
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
45
50
Penalty EPA
-4.95
-5.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
10
Yards / Game
1
21
Passing Yards / Game
8
29
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
2
21
EPA / Pass
4
19
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
29
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
11
14
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
12
4th Down Efficiency
29
20
RZ Efficiency
1
13
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
29
Yards / Game
10
31
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
7
13
EPA
EPA / Play
3
32
EPA / Pass
3
31
EPA / Rush
4
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
23
Interceptions / Game
1
25
Fumbles / Game
3
30
Turnover EPA / Game
31
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
19
4th Down Efficiency
4
5
RZ Efficiency
2
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
8-2
SU
9-0-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U