KCChiefs
9-7
8
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
023
INDColts
12-4
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
0
8
0
8
Colts
6
3
7
7
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
128
435
Total Plays
46
80
Yards / Play
2.8
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.44
-0.06
Passing Yards
84
247
Comp/Att
14/25(56%)
31/39(79%)
Yards / Pass
3.4
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.51
-0.18
Rushing Yards
44
188
Rush Attempts
17
40
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.29
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
28
Passing 1st downs
5
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
9%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.13
-13.88
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-25
-5
Sack EPA
-9.51
-1.01
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-3.60
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
18
Yards / Game
19
12
Passing Yards / Game
10
2
Rushing Yards / Game
9
32
EPA
EPA / Play
13
27
EPA / Pass
14
14
EPA / Rush
16
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
32
Interceptions / Game
9
14
Fumbles / Game
20
6
Turnover EPA / Game
18
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
25
4th Down Efficiency
9
30
RZ Efficiency
2
31
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
12
Yards / Game
2
22
Passing Yards / Game
22
21
Rushing Yards / Game
16
20
EPA
EPA / Play
2
21
EPA / Pass
1
19
EPA / Rush
10
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
9
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
22
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
25
RZ Efficiency
4
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U