KCChiefs
3-2
30
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
78°F
15 mph
20
MIADolphins
2-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
78°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
7
10
6
30
Dolphins
0
6
7
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
462
286
Total Plays
81
47
Yards / Play
5.7
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.04
Passing Yards
277
192
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
12/31(39%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.40
-0.19
Rushing Yards
185
94
Rush Attempts
45
14
Yards / Rush
4.1
6.7
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
9
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
47%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.27
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-10
Sack EPA
-1.90
-2.53
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
63
30
Penalty EPA
-1.84
-2.66
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
14
Yards / Game
1
17
Passing Yards / Game
6
26
Rushing Yards / Game
4
16
EPA
EPA / Play
2
19
EPA / Pass
6
20
EPA / Rush
3
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
29
Interceptions / Game
3
23
Fumbles / Game
23
8
Turnover EPA / Game
23
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
24
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
14
18
Dolphins Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
13
26
Passing Yards / Game
27
30
Rushing Yards / Game
11
8
EPA
EPA / Play
12
27
EPA / Pass
18
28
EPA / Rush
13
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
17
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
15
4th Down Efficiency
22
10
RZ Efficiency
26
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U