KCChiefs
5-3
10
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
9 mph
13
MIADolphins
2-6
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
0
0
10
10
Dolphins
3
10
0
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
306
Total Plays
60
73
Yards / Play
4.4
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.20
Passing Yards
185
189
Comp/Att
15/38(39%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.02
Rushing Yards
80
117
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
16
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
21%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-6.50
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-16
-12
Sack EPA
-2.35
-2.51
Penalties
7
1
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-6.65
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
5
Yards / Game
19
4
Passing Yards / Game
10
13
Rushing Yards / Game
9
7
EPA
EPA / Play
13
5
EPA / Pass
14
12
EPA / Rush
16
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
12
Interceptions / Game
9
31
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
18
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
9
24
RZ Efficiency
2
4
Dolphins Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
12
Yards / Game
20
22
Passing Yards / Game
15
21
Rushing Yards / Game
22
20
EPA
EPA / Play
28
21
EPA / Pass
24
19
EPA / Rush
26
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
9
Interceptions / Game
23
18
Fumbles / Game
5
4
Turnover EPA / Game
26
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
19
4th Down Efficiency
14
25
RZ Efficiency
22
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U