KCChiefs
-
10
TBD
Gillette Stadium
75°F
15 mph
17
NEPatriots
-
TBD
Gillette Stadium
75°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
3
0
7
10
Patriots
0
7
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
284
338
Total Plays
62
59
Yards / Play
4.6
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
182
212
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.08
Rushing Yards
102
126
Rush Attempts
27
28
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
50%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.11
-8.43
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-24
-16
Sack EPA
-5.39
-3.77
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
15
30
Penalty EPA
-3.93
+1.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
8
Yards / Game
24
10
Passing Yards / Game
10
12
Rushing Yards / Game
16
16
EPA
EPA / Play
23
20
EPA / Pass
22
27
EPA / Rush
12
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
5
Interceptions / Game
20
15
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
15
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
27
4th Down Efficiency
29
2
RZ Efficiency
10
32
Patriots Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
29
Yards / Game
5
31
Passing Yards / Game
4
1
Rushing Yards / Game
5
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
30
EPA / Pass
9
26
EPA / Rush
1
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
12
Interceptions / Game
4
18
Fumbles / Game
12
4
Turnover EPA / Game
24
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
32
4th Down Efficiency
2
7
RZ Efficiency
18
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U