KCChiefs
1-1
38
TBD
Gillette Stadium
80°F
20 mph
41
NEPatriots
2-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
80°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chiefs
3
7
7
21
0
38
Patriots
0
9
8
21
3
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
498
Total Plays
62
81
Yards / Play
5.6
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.30
+0.21
Passing Yards
128
399
Comp/Att
16/25(64%)
39/55(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.25
Rushing Yards
221
99
Rush Attempts
34
22
Yards / Rush
6.5
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
27
Passing 1st downs
7
19
Rushing 1st downs
14
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
55%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
5
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.01
-4.88
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-21
-11
Sack EPA
-5.35
-3.49
Penalties
1
12
Penalty Yards
--
100
Penalty EPA
--
-6.03
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
15
Yards / Game
4
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
7
Rushing Yards / Game
3
31
EPA
EPA / Play
1
19
EPA / Pass
1
8
EPA / Rush
1
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
23
Interceptions / Game
7
12
Fumbles / Game
1
12
Turnover EPA / Game
32
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
27
RZ Efficiency
1
31
Patriots Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
22
32
Passing Yards / Game
21
31
Rushing Yards / Game
28
25
EPA
EPA / Play
10
31
EPA / Pass
18
27
EPA / Rush
16
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
25
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
26
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
24
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
16
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U