KCChiefs
3-5
20
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
027
NOSaints
3-5
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
10
3
0
7
20
Saints
0
14
3
10
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
497
374
Total Plays
71
54
Yards / Play
7.0
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.20
Passing Yards
297
240
Comp/Att
22/33(67%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.17
Rushing Yards
200
134
Rush Attempts
36
23
Yards / Rush
5.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.09
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
20
Passing 1st downs
15
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
6
3rd Down %
25%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
8
11
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-12.83
-3.80
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-14
-19
Sack EPA
+0.53
-5.47
Penalties
12
8
Penalty Yards
94
57
Penalty EPA
-13.10
-4.83
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
26
Yards / Game
1
32
Passing Yards / Game
8
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
29
EPA
EPA / Play
2
23
EPA / Pass
4
24
EPA / Rush
1
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
12
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
24
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
17
4th Down Efficiency
29
32
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Saints Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
29
Yards / Game
15
31
Passing Yards / Game
5
31
Rushing Yards / Game
25
13
EPA
EPA / Play
14
32
EPA / Pass
15
31
EPA / Rush
26
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
11
30
Turnover EPA / Game
10
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
19
4th Down Efficiency
14
5
RZ Efficiency
5
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U