KCChiefs
5-4
45
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
017
HOUTexans
1-8
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
10
15
0
14
39
Texans
7
0
10
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
446
259
Total Plays
71
56
Yards / Play
6.3
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.30
Passing Yards
--
181
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.39
Rushing Yards
226
78
Rush Attempts
42
19
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.60
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
14
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
15
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
7
1
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-5.49
-14.36
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-1
Sack EPA
--
-0.96
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
30
43
Penalty EPA
-4.15
-7.33
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
32
Yards / Game
1
31
Passing Yards / Game
6
22
Rushing Yards / Game
4
32
EPA
EPA / Play
2
32
EPA / Pass
6
30
EPA / Rush
3
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
1
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
23
27
Turnover EPA / Game
23
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
17
4th Down Efficiency
6
30
RZ Efficiency
14
30
Texans Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
16
Yards / Game
30
26
Passing Yards / Game
29
30
Rushing Yards / Game
14
8
EPA
EPA / Play
20
27
EPA / Pass
29
28
EPA / Rush
10
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
17
Interceptions / Game
7
14
Fumbles / Game
12
9
Turnover EPA / Game
25
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
15
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
25
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U