
INDColts
4-0
28
TBD
Candlestick Park
64°F
3 mph
3
SF49ers
1-3

TBD
Candlestick Park
64°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
1
0
14
22
49ers
0
0
3
0
3
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
365
177
Total Plays
60
56
Yards / Play
6.1
3.2
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.40
Passing Yards
245
44
Comp/Att
23/31(74%)
9/23(39%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
1.9
EPA / Pass
+0.45
-1.06
Rushing Yards
120
133
Rush Attempts
28
28
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.06
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
22
12
Passing 1st downs
14
4
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
60%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
60%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays


Turnovers
3
5
Interceptions
2
4
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.22
-19.10
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-10
-30
Sack EPA
-1.15
-6.15
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
80
--
Penalty EPA
-6.49
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner

INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs 49ers Defense


Total
Points / Game
2
30
Yards / Game
3
32
Passing Yards / Game
11
32
Rushing Yards / Game
19
18
EPA
EPA / Play
1
24
EPA / Pass
1
32
EPA / Rush
9
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
5
Interceptions / Game
5
14
Fumbles / Game
5
29
Turnover EPA / Game
30
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
18
4th Down Efficiency
8
22
RZ Efficiency
7
16
49ers Offense vs Colts Defense


Total
Points / Game
30
2
Yards / Game
32
11
Passing Yards / Game
31
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
15
EPA
EPA / Play
32
10
EPA / Pass
32
6
EPA / Rush
19
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
32
Interceptions / Game
27
9
Fumbles / Game
23
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
11
4th Down Efficiency
6
25
RZ Efficiency
29
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Colts
8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U

49ers
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U