INDColts
2-1
18
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
10 mph
16
BUFBills
2-1
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
7
0
11
18
Bills
3
6
0
7
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
385
Total Plays
51
69
Yards / Play
5.2
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.06
Passing Yards
174
215
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.25
Rushing Yards
83
170
Rush Attempts
25
33
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
55%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.85
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-3
-31
Sack EPA
-0.64
-6.04
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
20
60
Penalty EPA
-3.11
-6.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
22
Yards / Game
3
4
Passing Yards / Game
18
7
Rushing Yards / Game
15
6
EPA
EPA / Play
2
19
EPA / Pass
2
12
EPA / Rush
7
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
3
Interceptions / Game
8
17
Fumbles / Game
15
11
Turnover EPA / Game
20
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
23
RZ Efficiency
4
12
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
8
22
Passing Yards / Game
6
8
Rushing Yards / Game
10
27
EPA
EPA / Play
24
21
EPA / Pass
13
14
EPA / Rush
23
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
31
Interceptions / Game
1
17
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
21
4th Down Efficiency
2
28
RZ Efficiency
17
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U