INDColts
13-2
6
TBD
New Era Field
54°F
21 mph
31
BUFBills
10-5
TBD
New Era Field
54°F
21 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
3
0
0
6
Bills
7
14
0
10
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
226
419
Total Plays
56
63
Yards / Play
4.0
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.30
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
24/32(75%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.58
Rushing Yards
44
132
Rush Attempts
19
31
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.20
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.75
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
23
25
Penalty EPA
-1.57
-3.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
7
1
Passing Yards / Game
29
1
Rushing Yards / Game
19
5
EPA
EPA / Play
3
5
EPA / Pass
2
3
EPA / Rush
12
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
26
Interceptions / Game
12
27
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
2
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
19
5
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
17
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
21
EPA
EPA / Play
12
19
EPA / Pass
9
19
EPA / Rush
18
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
31
Interceptions / Game
8
30
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
21
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
16
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
10-0
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U