INDColts
-
27
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
90°F
5 mph
14
KCChiefs
-
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
90°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
7
7
7
21
Chiefs
0
7
7
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
280
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
6.1
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.16
Passing Yards
264
206
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
16/37(43%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.28
-0.09
Rushing Yards
119
74
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.13
-6.61
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-6
Sack EPA
-1.25
-1.01
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
78
50
Penalty EPA
-5.15
-5.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
23
Yards / Game
3
20
Passing Yards / Game
18
28
Rushing Yards / Game
15
22
EPA
EPA / Play
2
25
EPA / Pass
2
25
EPA / Rush
7
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
8
23
Fumbles / Game
15
14
Turnover EPA / Game
20
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
23
4th Down Efficiency
1
30
RZ Efficiency
4
30
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
16
Yards / Game
7
22
Passing Yards / Game
5
8
Rushing Yards / Game
25
27
EPA
EPA / Play
9
21
EPA / Pass
9
14
EPA / Rush
22
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
31
Interceptions / Game
9
17
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
15
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
21
4th Down Efficiency
29
28
RZ Efficiency
18
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U