INDColts
6-1
23
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
82°F
14 mph
17
MIADolphins
5-2
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
82°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
9
7
7
23
Dolphins
7
0
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
239
Total Plays
76
48
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.15
Passing Yards
241
192
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.38
Rushing Yards
115
47
Rush Attempts
35
14
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
12
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
39%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
7
1
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-7.48
-8.27
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-25
-39
Sack EPA
-5.58
-12.99
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
44
Penalty EPA
-2.67
-4.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
2
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
5
EPA
EPA / Play
2
3
EPA / Pass
1
6
EPA / Rush
13
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
19
Interceptions / Game
4
7
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
11
4th Down Efficiency
12
1
RZ Efficiency
10
1
Dolphins Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
19
Yards / Game
24
13
Passing Yards / Game
12
1
Rushing Yards / Game
17
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
29
EPA / Pass
22
18
EPA / Rush
20
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
29
Interceptions / Game
21
13
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
7
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
16
4th Down Efficiency
16
31
RZ Efficiency
15
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U