INDColts
1-1
16
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
61°F
5 mph
20
PHIEagles
1-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
61°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
0
6
3
16
Eagles
7
3
3
7
20
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
209
379
Total Plays
56
77
Yards / Play
3.7
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.08
Passing Yards
141
227
Comp/Att
25/41(61%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
3.4
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.18
Rushing Yards
68
152
Rush Attempts
13
35
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
26
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
17%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
20%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.52
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-23
-28
Sack EPA
-4.16
-9.94
Penalties
11
10
Penalty Yards
77
110
Penalty EPA
-12.87
-8.79
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model79.0%
Spread Pick
Eagles-6.5
Expected Value
+30.6%
Cover Probability
68.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+302
Home nfelo
1,600
Away nfelo
1,399
Home Field
+76.4
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+25.1
Home QB Adjustment
+55.0
Away QB Adjustment
+29.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
229.9
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
A. Luck
Proj. Value
+2.7
Team Elo Adj
+29.9
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+55.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
9
Yards / Game
7
23
Passing Yards / Game
24
29
Rushing Yards / Game
16
6
EPA
EPA / Play
10
22
EPA / Pass
10
22
EPA / Rush
18
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
22
Interceptions / Game
22
25
Fumbles / Game
21
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
20
RZ Efficiency
7
1
Eagles Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
8
Yards / Game
17
11
Passing Yards / Game
11
4
Rushing Yards / Game
30
9
EPA
EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
11
6
EPA / Rush
22
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
21
13
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
12
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
7
RZ Efficiency
17
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
1-9
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U