INDColts
5-0
29
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
77°F
8 mph
7
JAXJaguars
4-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
77°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
10
0
10
27
Jaguars
0
0
7
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
384
226
Total Plays
72
66
Yards / Play
5.3
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.23
-0.13
Passing Yards
243
109
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
17/36(47%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
3.0
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.42
Rushing Yards
141
117
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
12
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.65
-7.13
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-19
Sack EPA
-2.80
-4.96
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
27
--
Penalty EPA
-3.31
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
11
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
18
EPA / Pass
3
19
EPA / Rush
4
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
18
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
4
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
14
RZ Efficiency
10
24
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
2
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
2
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
4
7
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
28
Interceptions / Game
2
2
Fumbles / Game
7
13
Turnover EPA / Game
30
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
31
4th Down Efficiency
8
23
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
10-0
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U