INDColts
7-1
23
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
62°F
15 mph
28
JAXJaguars
1-7
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
62°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
13
0
3
23
Jaguars
7
0
7
14
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
394
353
Total Plays
66
62
Yards / Play
6.0
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.24
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
28/45(62%)
12/24(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.41
+0.16
Rushing Yards
47
174
Rush Attempts
21
38
Yards / Rush
2.2
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
40%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
25%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+0.86
-3.22
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
38
47
Penalty EPA
-5.45
-6.35
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
16
Yards / Game
2
6
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
19
2
EPA
EPA / Play
2
18
EPA / Pass
1
30
EPA / Rush
13
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
24
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
31
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
30
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
19
Yards / Game
12
13
Passing Yards / Game
13
1
Rushing Yards / Game
8
20
EPA
EPA / Play
18
29
EPA / Pass
16
18
EPA / Rush
12
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
29
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
16
4th Down Efficiency
16
31
RZ Efficiency
25
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U