INDColts
12-0
26
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
55°F
10 mph
18
JAXJaguars
9-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
55°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
10
6
3
26
Jaguars
0
3
0
15
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
399
326
Total Plays
74
59
Yards / Play
5.4
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.07
Passing Yards
300
--
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
26/35(74%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.14
Rushing Yards
99
76
Rush Attempts
34
24
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
18
Passing 1st downs
19
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
43%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
25%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-1.34
-9.96
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-24
--
Sack EPA
-4.62
--
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-11.06
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
8
Yards / Game
3
5
Passing Yards / Game
11
21
Rushing Yards / Game
19
13
EPA
EPA / Play
1
5
EPA / Pass
1
11
EPA / Rush
9
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
16
Interceptions / Game
5
8
Fumbles / Game
5
31
Turnover EPA / Game
30
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
3
4th Down Efficiency
8
2
RZ Efficiency
7
25
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
2
Yards / Game
16
11
Passing Yards / Game
18
23
Rushing Yards / Game
10
15
EPA
EPA / Play
13
10
EPA / Pass
12
6
EPA / Rush
11
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
32
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
17
7
Turnover EPA / Game
29
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
11
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
9
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
10-0
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U