INDColts
5-9
17
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
042
LARRams
12-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
3
0
17
Rams
7
28
0
7
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
261
483
Total Plays
52
61
Yards / Play
5.0
7.9
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.43
Passing Yards
178
359
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
23/30(77%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
12.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.71
Rushing Yards
83
124
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
40%
80%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.72
-5.79
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-1.54
-0.76
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
38
--
Penalty EPA
-5.31
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
6
Yards / Game
2
3
Passing Yards / Game
6
20
Rushing Yards / Game
7
5
EPA
EPA / Play
7
4
EPA / Pass
9
1
EPA / Rush
7
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
16
Interceptions / Game
27
4
Fumbles / Game
24
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
7
4th Down Efficiency
4
16
RZ Efficiency
7
26
Rams Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
31
Yards / Game
1
29
Passing Yards / Game
1
11
Rushing Yards / Game
6
25
EPA
EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
1
28
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
22
Interceptions / Game
24
21
Fumbles / Game
29
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
29
4th Down Efficiency
8
18
RZ Efficiency
1
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U