INDColts
1-2
31
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
027
HOUTexans
0-3
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
10
0
0
15
25
Texans
0
17
3
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
314
391
Total Plays
58
67
Yards / Play
5.4
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.07
Passing Yards
235
235
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.06
Rushing Yards
79
156
Rush Attempts
22
32
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-0.71
-14.48
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-11
Sack EPA
-3.65
-5.18
Penalties
6
1
Penalty Yards
31
--
Penalty EPA
-5.82
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
27
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
20
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
23
EPA
EPA / Play
4
25
EPA / Pass
2
19
EPA / Rush
23
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
16
Interceptions / Game
6
23
Fumbles / Game
1
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
16
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
1
29
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
3
11
Passing Yards / Game
2
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
25
EPA
EPA / Play
13
21
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
8
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
29
Interceptions / Game
29
13
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
4
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
31
4th Down Efficiency
7
16
RZ Efficiency
27
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U