INDColts
6-0
38
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
020
HOUTexans
0-5
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
10
8
32
Texans
0
14
0
6
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
437
139
Total Plays
63
48
Yards / Play
6.9
2.9
EPA / Play
+0.29
-0.06
Passing Yards
232
6
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
6/10(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
0.6
EPA / Pass
+0.43
-1.67
Rushing Yards
205
133
Rush Attempts
34
33
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.22
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
30
13
Passing 1st downs
17
4
Rushing 1st downs
12
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
71%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
7
12
Red Zone %
60%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.17
-13.75
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-5
-42
Sack EPA
-5.43
-14.07
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
35
15
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-2.23
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
32
Yards / Game
3
31
Passing Yards / Game
11
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
32
EPA
EPA / Play
1
32
EPA / Pass
1
30
EPA / Rush
9
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
1
Interceptions / Game
5
31
Fumbles / Game
5
27
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
7
30
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
2
Yards / Game
30
11
Passing Yards / Game
29
23
Rushing Yards / Game
14
15
EPA
EPA / Play
20
10
EPA / Pass
29
6
EPA / Rush
10
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
32
Interceptions / Game
7
9
Fumbles / Game
12
7
Turnover EPA / Game
25
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
11
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
25
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U